Gazing into the Oracle

Gazing into the Oracle

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Overview

The Delphi Method is an exercise in group communication. It is intended to enhance informed decision-making by enabling decision makers to plan based on a wide reservoir of knowledge, experience and expertise in a systematic manner. The book is divided into two parts: Part 1 contains chapters on theoretical, methodological and practical issues - inclusing computerisation - which are raised by the Delphi Method while Part 2 consists of a series of case studies which illustrate the application fo the Delphi Method to a range of problems in social policy and public health. The case studies show how the Delphi Method has been used to study furture trends in mental health and mental health care, services for the elderly, accidents, family planning services, the implications of advances in biomedical and behavioural research and the administration of social security.

Product Details

ISBN-13: 9781853021046
Publisher: Kingsley, Jessica Publishers
Publication date: 02/01/1996
Edition description: New Edition
Pages: 264
Product dimensions: 5.51(w) x 8.46(h) x 0.59(d)

About the Author

Michael Adler is in the Department of Social Policy, University of Edinburgh. Erio Ziglio is a member of the World Health Organization (European Office) Copenhagen.

Table of Contents

Part 1. Theory and Methods. 1. The Delphi Method and its Contribution to Decision-Making, Erio Ziglio. 2. Theoretical, Methodological and Practical Issues Arising out of the Delphi Method, Armando Rotondi and David Gustafson. 3. Computer-Based Delphi Processes, Murray Turoff and Starr Roxanne Hiltz. Part 2. Applications. 4. A Comprehensive Study of the Ethical, Legal and Social Implications of Advances in Biochemical and Behavioural Research and Technology, Peter Goldschmidt. 5. The Use of the Delphi Method in Construdcting Scenarios on the Future of Mental Health and Mental Health Care, Rob Bijl. 6. Delphi Techniques and Planning of Social Services: The Prevention of Dependency Among the Old, Giovanni Bertin. 7. Alternative Approaches to the Computerisation of Social Security: Reflections on a Delphi Exercise, Michael Adler and Roy Sainsbury. 8. The Use of the Delphi Method in Forecasting Accidents in the Year 2000, Ed van Beeck. 9. Delphi Esitamates on Clients' Perceptions of Family Planning Services, Mauro Niero and Alex Robertson. 10. Concluding Remarks, Michael Adler and Erio Ziglio. List of Contributors. Subject Index. Author Index.

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